Egg vs Rotenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.3%
15.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
12º
8º
42
1º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LAU
0 - 0
EGG
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
EGG
3 - 1
SCG
45%
21%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LOC
0 - 1
EGG
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SCR
1 - 1
EGG
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
EGG
1 - 1
RTB
49%
21%
31%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Rotenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LAU
2 - 0
RTB
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RTB
2 - 3
ALB
25%
21%
54%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SWB
2 - 0
RTB
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
RTB
0 - 3
DOR
33%
22%
46%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
EGG
1 - 1
RTB
49%
21%
31%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |