Egabrense vs Peñarroya Pueblonuevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egabrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
EGA
3 - 1
REC
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
REC
1 - 2
EGA
44%
23%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
COS
1 - 4
EGA
8%
16%
76%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
EGA
5 - 2
ATC
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CCS
1 - 2
EGA
10%
18%
72%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarroya Pueblonuevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
PEN
43%
24%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
PEN
4 - 2
MON
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
LEO
2 - 3
PEN
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
PEN
3 - 1
COS
82%
13%
5%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ATC
0 - 3
PEN
25%
24%
52%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |