EFC vs LONGA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
JEK
0 - 1
EFC
51%
24%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EFC
0 - 0
VLI
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PSV
1 - 2
EFC
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
EFC
3 - 2
BRA
44%
24%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ROO
0 - 1
EFC
17%
22%
61%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
LONGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LON
1 - 0
TER
80%
14%
7%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LON
2 - 1
JEK
43%
24%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VLI
1 - 1
LON
56%
22%
23%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LON
3 - 1
PSV
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
LON
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |