EFC vs GOES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
NEM
2 - 2
EFC
56%
23%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
EFC
1 - 0
WSC
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
RKV
2 - 3
EFC
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
EFC
1 - 2
GEL
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
IFC
0 - 0
EFC
53%
22%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GOE
5 - 0
LON
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
JEK
0 - 1
GOE
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GOE
0 - 1
VLI
40%
24%
37%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PSV
1 - 0
GOE
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
GOE
4 - 0
BRA
39%
23%
37%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +3 |