EF Vélez Francisco Castejón vs UD Alameda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
16.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+121%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EF Vélez Francisco Castejón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
FOU
3 - 2
VFC
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
VFC
4 - 1
COM
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
UDH
0 - 3
VFC
18%
19%
63%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
VFC
8 - 0
CUE
72%
15%
13%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
TAP
4 - 1
VFC
30%
22%
49%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
UD Alameda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
ALA
2 - 1
RML
32%
22%
47%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
FMA
2 - 1
ALA
79%
13%
9%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CDA
3 - 2
ALA
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ALA
4 - 3
FOU
22%
20%
58%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
COM
2 - 1
ALA
25%
20%
55%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |