ADEF Usera vs CD Retiro Sur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
73.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
+192%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADEF Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LMA
1 - 2
EFU
59%
19%
22%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
EFU
3 - 2
CFM
6%
13%
81%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
EFU
1 - 3
CAS
28%
22%
50%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AGR
7 - 0
EFU
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
EVM
3 - 1
EFU
72%
15%
13%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
CD Retiro Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ASO
2 - 1
EVM
63%
18%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
GIG
1 - 2
ASO
26%
20%
54%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BET
3 - 0
ASO
32%
21%
47%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ASO
8 - 0
SPL
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MOS
1 - 1
ASO
19%
18%
63%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |