Eemdijk vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
15º
10º
33
4º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 48 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 36 |
15º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
81% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 16% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 65% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eemdijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
GEN
5 - 0
EEM
43%
24%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
EEM
4 - 4
SPO
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
EEM
1 - 6
BAR
32%
22%
47%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
EEM
3 - 3
SPA
32%
24%
43%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
DOV
1 - 1
EEM
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
EXC
3 - 1
TIE
47%
23%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
AJA
3 - 3
EXC
44%
23%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 1
EXC
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
EXC
0 - 1
HSC
62%
19%
19%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 0
EXC
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |