AFC Edinburgh University vs Heriot-Watt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Edinburgh University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
AFC
6 - 0
PEE
77%
16%
8%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2008 |
AFC
4 - 2
LOT
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
PRE
1 - 1
AFC
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
AFC
0 - 0
SEL
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
AFC
4 - 1
EAS
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
SEL
2 - 1
HER
31%
23%
46%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
WHI
3 - 1
HER
64%
20%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
HER
5 - 0
PEE
74%
16%
11%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
HER
0 - 1
PRE
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
LOT
1 - 2
HER
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |