Edinburgh City vs Burntisland Shipyard analysis


49	ELO	11
3.8%	Tilt	18.3%
6897º	General ELO ranking	25399º
67º	Country ELO ranking	101º
ELO win probability

79%

Edinburgh City

13.9%

Draw

7.1%

Burntisland Shipyard

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

79%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%

13.9%

Draw

0-0

4%

1-1

6.6%

2-2

2.7%

3-3

0.5%

4-4

0.1%

0

13.9%

7.1%

Win probability

0.64

Expected goals

0-1

2.6%

1-2

2.1%

2-3

0.6%

3-4

0.1%

-1

5.4%

0-2

0.8%

1-3

0.5%

2-4

0.1%

3-5

0%

-2

1.4%

0-3

0.2%

1-4

0.1%

2-5

0%

-3

0.3%

0-4

0%

-4

<0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Edinburgh City

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
10 Oct. 2009	EDI 2 - 5 HER 63% 21% 17%	50	41	9	0
03 Oct. 2009	SEL 2 - 5 EDI 26% 23% 51%	48	37	11	+2
26 Sep. 2009	COL 1 - 5 EDI 25% 22% 53%	47	33	14	+1
29 Aug. 2009	EDI 0 - 2 LOT 49% 24% 28%	48	47	1	-1
22 Aug. 2009	TYN 1 - 3 EDI 26% 24% 51%	47	37	10	+1