ECUS vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
54.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+138%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 1
ECU
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ECU
0 - 3
BEB
23%
21%
56%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
ECU
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MOG
0 - 1
ECU
33%
21%
46%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ECU
0 - 2
MFC
32%
23%
46%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 1
ECU
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
PAU
5 - 0
MAN
73%
17%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BEB
1 - 0
PAU
36%
27%
38%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 5
PAU
14%
23%
64%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
PAU
2 - 3
FLA
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |