ECUS vs Mauaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+312%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
USA
0 - 0
ECU
81%
12%
6%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
ECU
0 - 4
POR
17%
24%
60%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ECU
0 - 2
BER
14%
21%
65%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
JAB
4 - 1
ECU
75%
16%
9%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ECU
1 - 1
GUA
15%
19%
66%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Mauaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
MAU
3 - 4
JAB
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
MAU
2 - 0
TAB
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
POR
1 - 3
MAU
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 1
MAU
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MAU
1 - 2
USA
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |