Ecuador Sub 23 vs Venezuela Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ECU
3 - 0
COL
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 0
ECU
62%
20%
19%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
PRY
1 - 0
ECU
43%
22%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
ARG
3 - 0
ECU
58%
20%
21%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
PRY
2 - 5
ECU
48%
22%
30%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Venezuela Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VEN
3 - 3
BOL
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
COL
1 - 0
VEN
93%
7%
1%
|
49 | 92 | 43 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
VEN
1 - 4
ARG
14%
20%
66%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
COL
2 - 1
VEN
67%
20%
14%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
VEN
1 - 0
ECU
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |