Ecuador U20 vs Chile U20s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
60.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ECU
4 - 3
COL
16%
23%
61%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
ECU
0 - 1
BRA
9%
19%
72%
|
50 | 82 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
ECU
0 - 2
CHL
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
ECU
0 - 1
CHL
17%
21%
62%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
URY
2 - 0
ECU
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Chile U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 0
CHL
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
ECU
0 - 2
CHL
16%
21%
63%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
ECU
0 - 1
CHL
17%
21%
62%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
CHL
1 - 1
BRA
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CHL
3 - 0
ECU
63%
21%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |