Sudamericano U20 Title Group Round 1

Ecuador U20 vs Chile U20 analysis

Ecuador U20 Chile U20
58 ELO 64
-0.1% Tilt -0.6%
2959º General ELO ranking 2403º
30º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
26%
Ecuador U20
23.6%
Draw
50.4%
Chile U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
Ecuador U20
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
50.4%
Win probability
Chile U20
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ecuador U20
-14%
-10%
Chile U20

ELO progression

Ecuador U20
Chile U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ecuador U20
Ecuador U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2011
ECU
Ecuador U20
0 - 1
Brasil U20
BRA
7%
16%
77%
58 86 28 0
07 Feb. 2011
ECU
Ecuador U20
0 - 0
Colombia U20
COL
21%
24%
55%
57 69 12 +1
03 Feb. 2011
URU
Uruguay U20
1 - 1
Ecuador U20
ECU
79%
15%
7%
57 75 18 0
01 Feb. 2011
ARG
Argentina U20
0 - 1
Ecuador U20
ECU
87%
11%
3%
55 83 28 +2
29 Jan. 2011
ECU
Ecuador U20
3 - 1
Bolivia U20
BOL
63%
21%
17%
54 49 5 +1

Matches

Chile U20
Chile U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2011
COL
Colombia U20
1 - 3
Chile U20
CHI
57%
22%
21%
64 69 5 0
06 Feb. 2011
URU
Uruguay U20
1 - 0
Chile U20
CHI
65%
20%
15%
64 75 11 0
04 Feb. 2011
CHI
Chile U20
2 - 3
Argentina U20
ARG
14%
21%
66%
65 83 18 -1
01 Feb. 2011
CHI
Chile U20
1 - 5
Brasil U20
BRA
12%
19%
69%
65 85 20 0
28 Jan. 2011
CHI
Chile U20
3 - 1
Venezuela U20
VEN
73%
17%
10%
65 53 12 0