Ecuador U20 vs Brazil U20s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
59.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
ECU
1 - 0
COL
31%
27%
43%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
ECU
0 - 1
URY
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
ECU
2 - 1
ARG
17%
23%
61%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
PER
1 - 3
ECU
42%
26%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
ARG
0 - 1
ECU
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Brazil U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 3
URY
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
VEN
2 - 0
BRA
17%
23%
61%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 0
COL
65%
21%
15%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 0
BOL
82%
13%
5%
|
81 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
CHL
1 - 0
BRA
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |