Sudamericano U20 Group B Round 1

Ecuador U20 vs Bolivia U20 analysis

Ecuador U20 Bolivia U20
52 ELO 44
0% Tilt 0%
2955º General ELO ranking 5860º
30º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
74.5%
Ecuador U20
15.3%
Draw
10.2%
Bolivia U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
Ecuador U20
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.2%
Win probability
Bolivia U20
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ecuador U20
-13%
-8%
Bolivia U20

ELO progression

Ecuador U20
Bolivia U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ecuador U20
Ecuador U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 1988
URU
Uruguay U20
1 - 1
Ecuador U20
ECU
81%
12%
7%
52 69 17 0
28 Jan. 1987
ECU
Ecuador U20
2 - 1
Perú U20
PER
55%
24%
21%
51 51 0 +1
26 Jan. 1987
ARG
Argentina U20
0 - 0
Ecuador U20
ECU
77%
15%
8%
50 68 18 +1
23 Jan. 1987
BRA
Brasil U20
2 - 0
Ecuador U20
ECU
81%
13%
6%
50 77 27 0
22 Jan. 1985
ECU
Ecuador U20
2 - 0
Venezuela U20
VEN
63%
21%
16%
49 45 4 +1

Matches

Bolivia U20
Bolivia U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 1988
BRA
Brasil U20
3 - 0
Bolivia U20
BOL
86%
10%
4%
45 77 32 0
31 Jan. 1987
BOL
Bolivia U20
2 - 4
Uruguay U20
URU
24%
28%
48%
45 69 24 0
29 Jan. 1987
COL
Colombia U20
5 - 0
Bolivia U20
BOL
71%
18%
11%
46 55 9 -1
27 Jan. 1987
PAR
Paraguay U20
3 - 1
Bolivia U20
BOL
78%
15%
7%
47 65 18 -1
24 Jan. 1987
CHI
Chile U20
3 - 1
Bolivia U20
BOL
66%
20%
14%
48 53 5 -1