Eckernförder SV vs Dornbreite Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
13º
13º
13
3º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eckernförder SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EUT
1 - 4
ECK
35%
23%
43%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ECK
3 - 3
KIL
39%
22%
38%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 3
ECK
34%
22%
44%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ECK
4 - 1
TRT
61%
19%
20%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HEI
6 - 0
ECK
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Dornbreite Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 2
VFR
23%
21%
56%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PRR
4 - 0
DOR
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 3
EIC
9%
18%
73%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HOH
1 - 3
DOR
50%
21%
30%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VHG
7 - 0
DOR
80%
12%
8%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |