Écija Balompié vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
22.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Écija Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
AGD
4 - 1
ECI
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ECI
1 - 2
MEL
41%
29%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SRQ
1 - 0
ECI
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ECI
2 - 1
SEV
47%
28%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
EST
1 - 2
ECI
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
LUC
2 - 1
MEL
30%
28%
41%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
LUC
3 - 2
SRQ
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SEV
1 - 0
LUC
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 0
EST
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 0
LUC
54%
28%
19%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |