XV de Novembro vs Vocem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
VOT
2 - 0
ECN
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ECN
0 - 1
SJS
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
ECN
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ECN
0 - 1
UNI
28%
24%
49%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
ECN
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vocem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
VOC
0 - 0
GRE
18%
24%
58%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
VOC
2 - 2
AME
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
VOC
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VOC
2 - 1
GDS
28%
25%
46%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GDS
1 - 0
VOC
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |