XV de Novembro vs Lemense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 1
ECN
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 0
ECN
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ECN
1 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
19%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
PIR
4 - 0
ECN
32%
24%
45%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LEM
3 - 1
ECN
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
LEM
2 - 4
GUA
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
LEM
0 - 3
UNI
27%
24%
49%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PIR
2 - 0
LEM
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LEM
2 - 1
CAT
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LEM
3 - 1
ECN
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |