XV de Novembro vs Grêmio Sãocarlense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 1
ECN
42%
27%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ECN
1 - 0
FLA
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
ECN
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ECN
3 - 1
MFC
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 2
ECN
51%
26%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 0
GDS
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GDS
1 - 1
ITA
36%
25%
40%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GDS
0 - 1
BEB
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BEB
1 - 2
GDS
22%
23%
56%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 2
GDS
23%
21%
55%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |