Super Copa Gaúcha Knock-outs Semi-finals
Global 4-2
EC São José vs Grêmio B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ECS
1 - 1
OPE
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
ECS
11%
15%
74%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ECS
2 - 1
SAO
44%
29%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
ECS
1 - 1
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
ECS
43%
29%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
ECS
11%
15%
74%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 2
JUV
67%
19%
15%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
JUV
2 - 2
GRE
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
RSC
1 - 2
GRE
10%
17%
73%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 0
BOR
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |