EC São Bernardo vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 3
BER
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
BER
5 - 2
LIN
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
COM
0 - 0
BER
57%
25%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
BER
0 - 0
XVD
23%
25%
53%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
TAU
0 - 2
BER
56%
25%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
COM
0 - 0
XVD
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
XVD
3 - 0
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
COM
0 - 0
BER
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
LIN
0 - 1
COM
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
COM
3 - 2
INT
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |