Nova Cidade vs Paduano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
58.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Cidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
NCI
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
NCI
2 - 2
DUQ
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
RIO
6 - 1
NCI
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -3 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
NCI
1 - 3
CIG
44%
23%
34%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
SAO
4 - 4
NCI
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paduano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 0
SAO
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
MAD
0 - 1
PAD
54%
23%
24%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 0
MAD
20%
22%
59%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +3 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
AME
0 - 3
PAD
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 0
AME
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |