Macapá vs Ypiranga AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
37.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
7 - 2
ECM
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
ECM
0 - 3
SAN
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
IAP
1 - 1
ECM
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
ECM
2 - 1
IAP
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
ECM
1 - 0
SAN
23%
22%
56%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Ypiranga AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
YAP
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
YAP
0 - 2
SAN
30%
27%
44%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
TDC
0 - 0
YAP
26%
25%
49%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
YAP
0 - 0
IAP
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
SPM
1 - 2
YAP
26%
22%
53%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |