Macapá vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2008 |
AMA
2 - 2
ECM
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
IAP
2 - 0
ECM
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
ECM
0 - 0
CRI
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ECM
0 - 6
TDC
27%
23%
51%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
ECM
0 - 2
YAP
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2008 |
YAP
0 - 0
SAN
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 3
MAC
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
IAP
1 - 2
SAN
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
SAO
4 - 0
SAN
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2008 |
CRI
1 - 1
SAN
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |