Macapá vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2022 |
YAP
3 - 2
ECM
59%
24%
17%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
ECM
73%
18%
9%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
ECM
2 - 5
TDC
31%
25%
45%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
ECM
2 - 4
TDC
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
YAP
2 - 3
ECM
55%
25%
20%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2022 |
ORC
1 - 6
TDC
28%
21%
50%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SEC
0 - 1
ORC
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
ORC
0 - 1
IAP
27%
22%
52%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
ORC
1 - 3
GOI
5%
12%
83%
|
35 | 78 | 43 | -13 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ORC
1 - 0
SEC
54%
23%
24%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |