Macapá vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
ECM
1 - 1
TDC
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
ECM
2 - 3
SPM
67%
19%
15%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
ECM
4 - 2
SAO
29%
24%
48%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +3 |
| 24 Jun. 2008 |
ECM
2 - 1
SAO
25%
23%
51%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | +4 |
| 13 Jun. 2008 |
SPM
1 - 1
ECM
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SEC
2 - 2
ORC
64%
20%
17%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
ORC
63%
20%
16%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
ORC
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
YAP
1 - 0
ORC
69%
18%
12%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |