EC Itauna vs Democrata SL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Itauna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
URT
0 - 0
ECI
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 2
ECI
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ECI
1 - 1
AME
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
FEC
1 - 1
ECI
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
URT
1 - 1
ECI
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
DEM
0 - 4
CAL
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
VAL
3 - 2
DEM
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
DEM
0 - 1
FEC
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
FUN
2 - 1
DEM
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
BOA
2 - 0
DEM
58%
22%
21%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |