Bahía vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2006 |
ITA
2 - 1
BAH
33%
25%
43%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
BAH
5 - 0
ITA
64%
19%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
CFC
2 - 2
BAH
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
BAH
3 - 0
POC
77%
15%
9%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
BAH
3 - 1
COL
57%
22%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2006 |
VIT
2 - 0
FLU
85%
10%
5%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
FLU
2 - 5
VIT
21%
22%
58%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
VIT
2 - 1
JUA
90%
7%
3%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
IPI
1 - 1
VIT
19%
21%
60%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
ITA
0 - 3
VIT
20%
22%
59%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |