Bahía vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 3
BAH
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
BAH
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
BAH
3 - 0
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 4
TOR
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
BAH
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 1
VIL
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
BAH
25%
27%
48%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
BOT
33%
30%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
GRE
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 1
VIL
19%
26%
55%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |