Bahía vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
BAH
2 - 2
FOR
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 1
BAH
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
VAS
2 - 1
BAH
75%
16%
8%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
BAH
3 - 0
CAM
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 0
BAH
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ARN
2 - 0
VIL
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 2
PPE
32%
27%
42%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 3
VIL
38%
26%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
FFL
20%
24%
56%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
VAS
4 - 1
VIL
76%
16%
7%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |