Bahía vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
ATM
1 - 0
BAH
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
JUV
1 - 0
BAH
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
BAH
1 - 3
SCI
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
BAH
1 - 0
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2003 |
FLA
6 - 0
BAH
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
PAR
2 - 0
FLU
47%
24%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
GOI
1 - 0
PAR
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
PAR
0 - 0
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 2
SAN
36%
26%
39%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
ATP
1 - 0
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |