Bahía vs Internacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
36.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
BAH
59%
25%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
SCI
0 - 2
BAH
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ATP
0 - 0
BAH
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
BAH
0 - 0
CRI
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
COR
1 - 1
BAH
61%
24%
15%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
SCI
2 - 1
MFC
88%
10%
2%
|
84 | 36 | 48 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 1
SCI
40%
28%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
SCI
0 - 2
BAH
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
VER
0 - 1
SCI
17%
24%
59%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 0
SCI
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |