Serie A Betano Round 9

Bahía vs Grêmio analysis

Bahía Grêmio
79 ELO 87
-5.7% Tilt -16.4%
135º General ELO ranking 154º
11º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
30.3%
Bahía
27.8%
Draw
41.9%
Grêmio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
Bahía
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
41.9%
Win probability
Grêmio
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bahía
+4%
-6%
Grêmio

ELO progression

Bahía
Grêmio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bahía
Bahía
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2020
SCI
Internacional
2 - 2
Bahía
BAH
62%
23%
16%
80 85 5 0
03 Sep. 2020
BAH
Bahía
3 - 5
Flamengo
FLA
14%
22%
64%
80 90 10 0
30 Aug. 2020
BAH
Bahía
1 - 1
Palmeiras
PAL
20%
27%
54%
80 89 9 0
24 Aug. 2020
CEA
Ceará
2 - 0
Bahía
BAH
40%
29%
32%
80 76 4 0
21 Aug. 2020
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 1
Bahía
BAH
51%
27%
23%
80 82 2 0

Matches

Grêmio
Grêmio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2020
ATL
Atlético GO
1 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
25%
27%
49%
87 74 13 0
04 Sep. 2020
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 2
Sport Recife
SPO
81%
14%
6%
87 71 16 0
30 Aug. 2020
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 2
Caxias do Sul
CAX
85%
12%
3%
87 58 29 0
27 Aug. 2020
CAX
Caxias do Sul
0 - 2
Grêmio
GRE
15%
25%
60%
87 59 28 0
23 Aug. 2020
VAS
Vasco da Gama
0 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
25%
27%
47%
87 79 8 0