Bahía vs Fluminense de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
JUA
1 - 4
BAH
13%
20%
67%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 0
VIT
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
3 - 4
BAH
13%
22%
65%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
BAH
3 - 2
FEI
86%
10%
4%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
FEI
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 0
FLU
63%
22%
16%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
JUA
1 - 2
FLU
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
0 - 3
VIT
41%
25%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
VIT
12%
20%
68%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |