Bahía vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
BAH
2 - 1
GOI
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
VIT
0 - 0
BAH
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
PPE
0 - 0
BAH
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 2
BAH
66%
22%
12%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
BAH
0 - 2
COR
26%
29%
45%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
BOT
34%
27%
40%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SCI
1 - 0
FLA
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 1
ASA
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
VAS
0 - 1
FLA
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
ASA
0 - 2
FLA
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |