Bahía vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
5.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
BAH
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 2
BAH
14%
23%
63%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIT
78%
15%
6%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 1
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CSA
4 - 1
BAH
16%
24%
60%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
CSA
2 - 1
VIT
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
CSA
1 - 1
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
CSA
76%
17%
7%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 2
CSA
50%
27%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CSA
4 - 1
BAH
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | +2 |