Copa do Nordeste Grupo B round 6

Bahía vs CSA analysis

Bahía CSA
71 ELO 49
-8.1% Tilt -11.4%
119º General ELO ranking 1384º
19º Country ELO ranking 50º
ELO win probability
78.4%
Bahía
15.7%
Draw
5.9%
CSA

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
Bahía
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
5.9%
Win probability
CSA
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bahía
+2%
-12%
CSA

ELO progression

Bahía
CSA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bahía
Bahía
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2014
SAN
Santa Cruz
2 - 1
Bahía
BAH
31%
27%
42%
72 61 11 0
30 Jan. 2014
VIT
Vitória da Conquista
1 - 2
Bahía
BAH
14%
23%
63%
72 47 25 0
25 Jan. 2014
BAH
Bahía
1 - 0
Vitória da Conquista
VIT
78%
15%
6%
71 47 24 +1
23 Jan. 2014
BAH
Bahía
1 - 1
Santa Cruz
SAN
64%
22%
14%
72 61 11 -1
19 Jan. 2014
CSA
CSA
4 - 1
Bahía
BAH
16%
24%
60%
73 45 28 -1

Matches

CSA
CSA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2014
CSA
CSA
2 - 1
Vitória da Conquista
VIT
61%
21%
18%
49 47 2 0
30 Jan. 2014
CSA
CSA
1 - 1
Santa Cruz
SAN
28%
25%
47%
48 61 13 +1
25 Jan. 2014
SAN
Santa Cruz
0 - 1
CSA
CSA
76%
17%
7%
47 62 15 +1
22 Jan. 2014
VIT
Vitória da Conquista
2 - 2
CSA
CSA
50%
27%
23%
47 47 0 0
19 Jan. 2014
CSA
CSA
4 - 1
Bahía
BAH
16%
24%
60%
45 73 28 +2