Bahía vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
BAH
1 - 1
ALA
83%
13%
4%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 0
BAH
7%
20%
73%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
BAH
0 - 1
CEA
52%
26%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
BAH
2 - 2
JAC
84%
13%
4%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
CEA
3 - 1
BAH
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
COT
0 - 1
SCI
23%
29%
48%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
COT
1 - 2
ATP
26%
27%
47%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
ATP
1 - 0
COT
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
COT
2 - 0
CIA
77%
17%
6%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
CIA
2 - 3
COT
11%
20%
69%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |