Bahía vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 1
UNI
89%
9%
2%
|
78 | 33 | 45 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 3
BAH
10%
22%
69%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 0
SAN
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ADA
0 - 2
BAH
3%
10%
87%
|
77 | 29 | 48 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 2
SDJ
84%
12%
5%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 0
4DE
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 1
CSP
83%
13%
4%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
BOT
3 - 0
ALA
69%
19%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ALA
1 - 1
BOT
21%
24%
55%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
TRE
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |