Copa do Brasil . Last 16
Global 2-3
Bahía vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
54.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 1
SPO
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 0
BAH
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
ATM
3 - 0
BAH
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 5
FLA
15%
20%
65%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
BAH
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 0
ATP
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 0
BAH
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
ATM
3 - 0
BAH
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
ATM
0 - 0
BOC
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
COR
1 - 2
ATM
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |