Bahía vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BAH
0 - 1
SDJ
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 2
SAN
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BAH
0 - 0
BAH
74%
18%
8%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
BAH
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIT
74%
18%
8%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CEA
3 - 0
ABC
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ABC
2 - 3
SAM
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
ABC
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ABC
4 - 2
AMF
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
ABC
1 - 1
ATL
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |