EC Avenida vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
70.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ECA
2 - 2
SLU
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
ECA
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
SLU
0 - 0
ECA
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ECA
1 - 1
SLU
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ECA
1 - 1
LAJ
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 5
CAX
76%
18%
6%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
SLU
1 - 1
GRE
8%
20%
72%
|
86 | 49 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
RMA
1 - 0
GRE
84%
11%
6%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
PAC
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ATM
4 - 3
GRE
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |