Ebolitana vs ASD Sambiase analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebolitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 2
EBO
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
EBO
2 - 3
TUR
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
HYR
0 - 2
EBO
23%
23%
54%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
EBO
1 - 1
NOT
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ASD
2 - 1
CAS
44%
26%
31%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
GSM
2 - 0
ASD
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ASD
1 - 0
FCR
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
MOD
0 - 2
ASD
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 1
ASD
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |