Eastern Suburbs vs Auckland II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+749%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
10º
5º
21
8º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
37 | 44 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 44 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 39 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 39 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 34 |
7º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 26 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 22 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 18 |
10º
|
52.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 17 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 17 |
12º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
77.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
MUF
1 - 3
EAS
19%
19%
62%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
AFC
1 - 2
EAS
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
EAS
4 - 1
TCU
57%
19%
24%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
EAS
5 - 2
TCU
43%
22%
36%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
EAS
3 - 3
BAO
75%
16%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
ECB
2 - 1
AUC
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
AUC
1 - 2
AFC
12%
17%
71%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
AUC
2 - 3
FEN
31%
21%
47%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
AUC
1 - 1
MEL
17%
18%
65%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
TCU
3 - 0
AUC
89%
8%
4%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |