Eastern Suburbs vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
63.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
10º
5º
36
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
1º
|
41 | 44 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 40 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 36 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 32 |
7º
|
90.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 26 |
8º
|
86.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 20 |
10º
|
66.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 17 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 17 |
12º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
66% | 89% |
|
Mid-table
|
34% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
WCR
1 - 2
EAS
23%
21%
57%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
EAS
1 - 4
MAN
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
ECB
0 - 1
EAS
33%
22%
46%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
EAS
2 - 1
AFC
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
TCU
1 - 3
EAS
63%
18%
19%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
AUC
0 - 1
AUC
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 13 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
FEN
1 - 2
AUC
17%
20%
63%
|
51 | 17 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
AUC
1 - 0
BAO
84%
11%
5%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
BIR
2 - 1
AUC
19%
21%
60%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
AUC
0 - 1
WES
76%
15%
10%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |