Combined Counties Football League Southern Combination League Premier. Jor. 33

Eastbourne Town vs Varndeanians analysis

Eastbourne Town Varndeanians
28 ELO 17
-9.8% Tilt -6.7%
8479º General ELO ranking 14903º
459º Country ELO ranking 851º
ELO win probability
75%
Eastbourne Town
15.2%
Draw
9.8%
Varndeanians

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
Eastbourne Town
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
9.8%
Win probability
Varndeanians
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Eastbourne Town
+30%
-26%
Varndeanians

ELO progression

Eastbourne Town
Varndeanians
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Eastbourne Town
Eastbourne Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2023
HOR
Horsham YMCA
0 - 0
Eastbourne Town
TOW
13%
19%
69%
26 13 13 0
18 Mar. 2023
TOW
Eastbourne Town
1 - 1
Broadbridge Heath
BRO
37%
23%
41%
24 27 3 +2
11 Mar. 2023
LOX
Loxwood
0 - 3
Eastbourne Town
TOW
9%
15%
75%
23 10 13 +1
04 Mar. 2023
TOW
Eastbourne Town
4 - 0
Lingfield FC
LIN
70%
17%
13%
21 15 6 +2
25 Feb. 2023
ALF
Alfold
1 - 2
Eastbourne Town
TOW
8%
14%
78%
23 9 14 -2

Matches

Varndeanians
Varndeanians
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2023
HOR
Horsham YMCA
2 - 1
Varndeanians
VAR
34%
22%
44%
17 15 2 0
25 Mar. 2023
VAR
Varndeanians
0 - 1
Crowborough Athletic
CRO
28%
21%
51%
17 22 5 0
11 Mar. 2023
VAR
Varndeanians
0 - 3
Hassocks
HAS
50%
21%
29%
17 18 1 0
04 Mar. 2023
BEX
Bexhill United
1 - 0
Varndeanians
VAR
63%
19%
18%
17 21 4 0
25 Feb. 2023
STC
Steyning Town
2 - 1
Varndeanians
VAR
61%
19%
20%
18 22 4 -1
X