East Thurrock United FC vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
EAS
1 - 1
WIN
57%
21%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
EAS
1 - 2
NEE
79%
14%
8%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
EAS
5 - 0
TIV
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
EAS
3 - 1
CHE
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
EAS
2 - 1
HAM
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 1
NEE
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
VCD
2 - 1
FAR
38%
24%
39%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
FAR
2 - 1
WIN
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
WIN
4 - 3
FAR
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
FAR
2 - 2
BID
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |