East Kilbride vs Gretna 2008 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Kilbride
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
STI
1 - 2
EAS
19%
24%
58%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
EAS
3 - 2
STR
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
EAS
1 - 4
SPA
57%
22%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
AFC
2 - 2
EAS
8%
18%
74%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
EAS
4 - 0
BSC
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 2
SPA
12%
17%
71%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
STI
1 - 0
GRE
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
0 - 0
AFC
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CIV
1 - 0
GRE
80%
12%
8%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
GAL
4 - 1
GRE
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |