East Grinstead Town vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Grinstead Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
RED
1 - 1
EAS
83%
12%
6%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 0
EAS
42%
24%
35%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
HOR
0 - 2
SOU
70%
17%
14%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MER
1 - 0
HOR
68%
18%
15%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 1
WAL
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
RAM
4 - 2
HOR
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 0
HAS
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |